US
US Economy
Topic
42.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 15
Pending: 349
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
US PCE Inflation to be 2.5-2.7% by the end of 2025.
"PC inflation 2.5 to 2.7"
Mar 20, 2025
Pending
US GDP to be 1.7% by the end of 2025.
"they predicted in December that GDP was going to be 2.1 now they're thinking at the end of at the en..."
Mar 20, 2025
Pending
US Core PCE Inflation to be 2.5-2.8% by the end of 2025.
"core pce 2.5 to 2.8"
Mar 20, 2025
Pending
The SEC is hosting a public crypto roundtable on March 21st, where individuals can submit questions and suggestions.
"the 21st of March the SEC is holding a crypto roundt this is also open to the public guys interestin..."
Mar 17, 2025
Pending
The Fed meeting this week will include the release of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), indicating the Fed's monetary policy stance.
"and well this fed meeting um this week is what the one where they released the summary of economic p..."
Mar 17, 2025
Pending
The FOMC meeting and rate decision on March 19th are expected to result in no change, but Jerome Powell's commentary will be significant.
"on March 19th Wednesday as we alluded to we've got the fomc meeting and rate decision now I think th..."
Mar 17, 2025
Pending
Tariffs, or issues related to them, could be the cause of a US recession.
"the primary reason why they did this was because of the concerns around Trump's tariff policies and ..."
Mar 16, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the US is likely heading into a recession.
"I say all of that to say yes if I had to guess we're probably headed into a recession"
Mar 13, 2025
Incorrect
Unemployment will rise, and consumer spending will decline.
"I believe unemployment will rise uh I believe people don't have money to spend"
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
High chance of a US recession in 2025, potentially marked by two consecutive GDP downturns.
"and right now it's the highest chance it's had of a US recession in 2025 and I know it sounds awful ..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
A loss of faith in the dollar and US treasuries will cause interest rates to rise and inflation to reignite.
"that loss of faith in the dollar and the US treasuries would also send interest rates back up and re..."
Mar 5, 2025
Pending
The US economy could face significant problems if it doesn't show good numbers and fails to control inflation, potentially leading to stagflation.
"I've read a lot of articles on stackflation on u in in the USA if their economy doesn't show up good..."
Mar 5, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve Bank believes the US economy will shrink in Q1 2025 and throughout 2025.
"the Ben Reserve Bank put out essentially two sentences saying that we believe that the economy is go..."
Mar 4, 2025
Pending
The Atlanta Fed predicts the US economy will shrink in Q1 2025.
"the Atlanta fed just said that the United States economy is not expected to grow in the first quarte..."
Mar 4, 2025
Pending
The US economy is not expected to improve soon unless the tariffs with Canada and Mexico are renegotiated or postponed.
"markets are dropping I don't expect it necessarily to get better soon unless these tariffs are eithe..."
Mar 4, 2025
Pending
The US will become de facto bankrupt if current economic trends (deficits, national debt interest) continue. (Quote by Elon Musk)
"if this continues the country will go become de facto bankrupt."
Mar 2, 2025
Pending
A major economic downturn is likely to be accompanied by increased unemployment and reduced income.
"the biggest risk I see in today's economy is that any sort of major drop is probably also going to b..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
Trump's tariffs are expected to have a significant impact on the US economy.
"Trump's tariffs are suspected to soon go into effect and all of this is about to have a Major Impact..."
Feb 28, 2025
Incorrect
The combination of stagnation and inflation in the US economy could potentially lead to stagflation, though it's too early to confirm.
"this stagnation combined with inflation can lead to something called stagflation and it is not a ver..."
Feb 24, 2025
Pending
Tariffs will not be beneficial for the US economy.
"will tariffs be good for the US economy no"
Feb 20, 2025
Pending
Tariffs are predicted to be detrimental to the US economy, consumers, and small businesses.
"will tariffs be good for the US economy no... it's not going to be helpful for the average consumer ..."
Feb 20, 2025
Pending
If implemented effectively, these tariffs could stimulate domestic spending, boost American companies' growth and hiring, and increase tax revenue within the US.
"maybe if done correctly these tariffs could mean more spending is happening inside the United States..."
Feb 11, 2025
Pending
A significant increase in steel prices due to tariffs could lead to inflation, raising the cost of products that contain steel.
"if we see a big spike in steel prices it could have an inflationary impact which is the prices of th..."
Feb 11, 2025
Pending
Continued tariffs that slow economic growth could result in a stagflationary shock to the US economy, characterized by slow growth and high inflation.
"these tariffs if they continue and they slow down the economy it could deliver a quote stagflationar..."
Feb 11, 2025
Pending
New tariffs on steel and aluminum are intended to increase domestic buying, leading to more jobs, profits, and tax revenue for the US economy.
"this will hopefully according to the Trump Administration bring even more steel and aluminum buying ..."
Feb 11, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump aims to establish the US as the leading hub for AI and cryptocurrency.
"Trump promised to make it the AI and crypto capital of the world."
Feb 4, 2025
Pending
Increased tariffs are predicted to benefit the US economy in the long run.
"but in the long run I think it'll benefit the US economy"
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
US GDP growth rate will be slower in 2025 but will not contract into negative territory.
"I'm I I I I think the growth rate of the economy may be slower due to the base effect from the previ..."
Jan 28, 2025
Pending
The US economy is predicted to experience another recession.
"our economy will go through another recession"
Jan 20, 2025
Pending
The long end of the yield curve is predicted to top in Q1 2025.
"I'm going to guess that the long in of the Y curve is going to top this this quarter that's my guess..."
Jan 11, 2025
Pending
The 10-year yield is predicted to go down in Q2 or Q3 of 2025.
"to then lead to the 10e yield going down perhaps in like Q2 Q3"
Jan 11, 2025
Pending
The long end of the yield curve was previously predicted to rally into Q1 2025. (Author indicates this prediction has materialized).
"I said that that the long end of the yeld curve would likely rally into q1 of 2025"
Jan 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates less frequently in 2025 than previously expected.
"the Federal Reserve probably won't be cutting rates anytime soon or even as frequently as we thought..."
Jan 7, 2025
Pending
A market crash and a recession are expected to occur in the future.
"we will see a market crash we will see a recession"
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
Given the historical frequency of recessions (16 in the last 100 years), another one is anticipated.
"we've seen 16 recessions over the last 100 years we have another one coming"
Dec 27, 2024
Pending
Donald Trump is predicted to inherit an economy that appears healthy overall.
"Trump will inherit an economy that looks healthy overall"
Dec 23, 2024
Pending
2025 is predicted to be an interesting economic year with significant opportunities for financially savvy investors.
"2025 is going to be an interesting year in the economy we're going to see a lot of crazy things happ..."
Dec 23, 2024
Pending
Expectation that President-elect Trump will positively impact the economy and asset prices through 2025 and beyond.
"President-elect Trump is going to help the economy and he's going to help asset prices continue boom..."
Dec 17, 2024
Pending
Independent research suggests that proposed tariffs could cost the average American family an additional $2,000 to $4,000 annually.
"independent research groups estimate that the proposed tariffs would end up costing the average Amer..."
Dec 9, 2024
Pending
Proposed tariffs are predicted to negatively impact industrial sectors, increase tax burdens by $272 billion annually, raise prices, lift interest rates, and weaken the housing sector.
"it's probably not going to be the economic boom that some people think it would be and it's even sai..."
Dec 9, 2024
Pending
The proposed tariffs on $1.3 trillion worth of goods from China, Canada, and Mexico could lead to significantly increased costs for consumers.
"and the impacts could be pretty significant as of now we'll import more than $400 billion wor the pr..."
Dec 9, 2024
Pending
US GDP is projected to reach $29 trillion in 2024.
"in 20124 the GDP is expected to be around $29 trillion"
Nov 22, 2024
Pending
The market will experience crashes, recessions, layoffs, and booms.
"yes we will see a market crash yes we will see a recession yes we will see layoffs happen yes we wil..."
Nov 21, 2024
Pending
Recession and market crash are predicted to occur.
"we will see a recession don't say I didn't tell you we will see a market crash don't say I didn't te..."
Nov 21, 2024
Pending
The proposed US tariff regime is expected to counter the downward pressure on the dollar from money printing, though the extent of this effect is uncertain.
"the proposed tariff regime should counter this though to what extent it's hard to say"
Nov 17, 2024
Pending
The highest earning quintile in the US is expected to see a 2.2% net gain in income from a combination of tax cuts and tariff increases.
"for the highest earning quintile for whom this combination of tax cuts and tariff increases result i..."
Nov 17, 2024
Pending
The implementation of tariffs will cause 1 to 1.5 years of economic pain, followed by decades of prosperity for the US.
"at first there would be pain like a year full of pain a year and a half full of pain to get places b..."
Nov 16, 2024
Pending
A campaign of tariffs will lead to an initial supply chain shock.
"in the beginning of a massive campaign of tariffs there will be some um supply chain shock"
Nov 16, 2024
Pending
The US economy is predicted to avoid a recession over the rest of the decade (until 2029-2030).
"if we didn't have a recession the past three years why should we have one over the rest of the decad..."
Nov 15, 2024
Pending
Large corporate tax credits will lead to increased company growth, more domestic job creation, and reduced dependence on imports from China.
"if a corporation gets big tax credits and spends less money in taxes... they take that money and the..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending